Post Velocity
Watching @demishassabis · posted 2h40m ago · sampled every 30s
Demis Hassabis@demishassabis
AlphaFold 4: every protein complex in the human body, open to all. Paper, weights and the database are live. Proud of this team.
posted 2h40m ago96.3K views3,678 /min at +60m
All monitored postsTotal viewscumulative impressions · sampled 30s
AccelerationAccelerating
+293/min²
slope of the gain rate · last 10m
Checkpoints×9.3 typical now
- +30s3,454 /min×2 typical
- +30m846 /min×2 typical
- +60m3,678 /min×9.3 typical
Shelf lifestill rising at +2h40m
14hprojected · typical for this lane 9h
Projected reachweighted score + velocity + classifier bar · horizon 48h36% probability of clearing the bar
Why this forecastsums to 36%
- Text-lane base rateshare of text posts that clear the bar+11
- Author influence@demishassabis+10
- Early acceleration+293/min² · still rising at +2h40m+7
- Reposted by @sundarpichaiinfluence 85+6
- Weighted score43/100+7
- Posting timevs lane median−5
Event log4 engagement events · impact = Δ views/min within 4m
| Time | Account | Event | Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:47+47m | Andrej Karpathy@karpathy | Reposted | 83 | +115 /min |
| 12:35+35m |  Yann LeCun@ylecun | Replied | 78 | +38 /min |
| 12:24+24m | Bill Gates@BillGates | Quoted | 89 | +226 /min |
| 12:13+13m | Sundar Pichai@sundarpichai | Reposted | 85 | +273 /min |
Sampling
@sama40,351 /min at +42m · accel +2,744•
@nytimes16,970 /min first 60m · accel +1,494•
@FT11,938 /min at +48m · accel +1,047•
@MKBHD5,908 /min at +35m · accel +275•
@SecScottBessent3,263 /min first 60m · accel +256•
@amasad1,404 /min at +28m · accel +82•
@naval8,956 /min first 60m · accel +730•
@pmarca2,778 /min at +25m · accel +171•
@dwarkesh_sp643 /min first 60m · accel +53•
@gdb99.4K views first 60m · ×2.5 typical•
@patrickc65.6K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@emollick10.8K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@CathieDWood83.8K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@howardmarks19.1K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@DarioAmodei46.3K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@nikitabier21.7K views at +22m · ×3.1 typical•
@cdixon23.1K views at +30m · ×1.6 typical•
@jack79.6K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@Carl_C_Icahn18.4K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@garrytan207.1K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@paulg10.4K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@levelsio54.7K views first 60m · ×2.4 typical•
@shl60.6K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@morganhouselpeaked at +43m · now 84 /min•
@lennysanpeaked at +56m · now 56 /min•
@Jasonpeaked at +12m · now 86 /min•
@balajispeaked at +43m · now 61 /min•
@rauchgpeaked at +24m · now 172 /min•
@bgurleypeaked at +42m · now 155 /min•
@RayDaliopeaked at +29m · now 216 /min•
@satyanadellapeaked at +29m · now 1,017 /min•
@chamathpeaked at +27m · now 236 /min•
@dhhpeaked at +19m · now 174 /min•
@tim_cookpeaked at +8m · now 3,445 /min•
@michaeljburrypeaked at +15m · now 638 /min•
@leviepeaked at +38m · now 763 /min•
@federalreservepeaked at +6m · now 2,193 /min•
@BillAckmanpeaked at +3h56m · now 215 /min•