Post Velocity
Watching @patrickc · posted 6h34m ago · sampled every 30s
Patrick Collison@patrickc
I love agentic coding harnesses, but they shouldn't be primarily terminal-based. The terminal is great for quick and precise commands, but information density is extremely low and UI affordances are minimal. Maybe provision of TUIs is worthwhile for occasional use (when establishing a tunnel is too annoying, or something), but it feels very strange for this to be the default modality. It took a long time for dynamic language REPLs to break out of the terminal (Jupyter notebooks and similar); I hope we don't have to wait as long for the harnesses.
posted 6h34m ago34.6K views290 /min at +60m
All monitored postsTotal viewscumulative impressions · sampled 30s
AccelerationSteady
−5/min²
slope of the gain rate · last 10m
Checkpoints×1.8 typical now
- +30s1,536 /min×2 typical
- +30m336 /min×1.9 typical
- +60m290 /min×1.8 typical
Shelf lifeholding at +6h34m
10hprojected · typical for this lane 9h
Projected reachweighted score + velocity + classifier bar · horizon 48h13% probability of clearing the bar
Why this forecastsums to 13%
- Text-lane base rateshare of text posts that clear the bar+4
- Author influence@patrickc+4
- Early acceleration−5/min² · holding at +6h34m+3
- Replied by @amasadinfluence 70+2
- Weighted score24/100+2
- Posting timevs lane median−2
Event log3 engagement events · impact = Δ views/min within 4m
| Time | Account | Event | Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:45+45m |  Aaron Levie@levie | Reposted | 73 | +65 /min |
| 12:30+30m |  Steve Ruiz@steveruizok | Quoted | 58 | +55 /min |
| 12:14+14m |  Amjad Masad@amasad | Replied | 70 | +24 /min |
Sampling
@sama40,351 /min at +42m · accel +2,744•
@demishassabis16,468 /min at +35m · accel +1,091•
@sundarpichai11,935 /min at +18m · accel +636•
@nytimes16,970 /min first 60m · accel +1,494•
@FT11,938 /min at +48m · accel +1,047•
@MKBHD5,908 /min at +35m · accel +275•
@SecScottBessent3,263 /min first 60m · accel +256•
@naval8,956 /min first 60m · accel +730•
@pmarca2,778 /min at +25m · accel +171•
@dwarkesh_sp643 /min first 60m · accel +53•
@gdb99.4K views first 60m · ×2.5 typical•
@karpathy103.4K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@emollick10.8K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@CathieDWood83.8K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@howardmarks19.1K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@DarioAmodei46.3K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@nikitabier21.7K views at +22m · ×3.1 typical•
@cdixon23.1K views at +30m · ×1.6 typical•
@jack79.6K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@Carl_C_Icahn18.4K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@garrytan207.1K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@paulg10.4K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@levelsio54.7K views first 60m · ×2.4 typical•
@shl60.6K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@morganhouselpeaked at +43m · now 84 /min•
@lennysanpeaked at +56m · now 56 /min•
@Jasonpeaked at +12m · now 86 /min•
@balajispeaked at +43m · now 61 /min•
@rauchgpeaked at +24m · now 172 /min•
@bgurleypeaked at +42m · now 155 /min•
@RayDaliopeaked at +29m · now 216 /min•
@satyanadellapeaked at +29m · now 1,017 /min•
@chamathpeaked at +27m · now 236 /min•
@dhhpeaked at +19m · now 174 /min•
@tim_cookpeaked at +8m · now 3,445 /min•
@michaeljburrypeaked at +15m · now 638 /min•
@federalreservepeaked at +6m · now 2,193 /min•
@BillAckmanpeaked at +3h56m · now 215 /min•