Post Velocity
Watching @naval · posted 1h12m ago · sampled every 30s
Naval@naval
The people who get rich in a downturn are the ones who were already building when nobody was watching. Leverage compounds quietly, then all at once. You cannot start compounding the week the market turns.
posted 1h12m ago198.0K views8,956 /min at +60m
All monitored postsTotal viewscumulative impressions · sampled 30s
AccelerationAccelerating
+730/min²
slope of the gain rate · last 10m
Checkpoints×14.9 typical now
- +30s5,744 /min×2 typical
- +30m2,322 /min×2.4 typical
- +60m8,956 /min×14.9 typical
Shelf lifestill rising at +1h12m
26hprojected · typical for this lane 9h
Projected reachweighted score + velocity + classifier bar · horizon 48h94% probability of clearing the bar
Why this forecastsums to 94%
- Text-lane base rateshare of text posts that clear the bar+19
- Author influence@naval+26
- Early acceleration+730/min² · still rising at +1h12m+19
- Reposted by @paulginfluence 86+15
- Weighted score84/100+17
- Posting timevs lane median−2
Event log5 engagement events · impact = Δ views/min within 4m
| Time | Account | Event | Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:49+49m | Jeff Bezos@JeffBezos | Liked | 90 | +684 /min |
| 12:39+39m | Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath | Reposted | 80 | +228 /min |
| 12:29+29m | Elon Musk@elonmusk | Replied | 98 | +289 /min |
| 12:20+20m | Sam Altman@sama | Quoted | 84 | +425 /min |
| 12:11+11m | Paul Graham@paulg | Reposted | 86 | +398 /min |
Sampling
@demishassabis16,468 /min at +35m · accel +1,091•
@sundarpichai11,935 /min at +18m · accel +636•
@nytimes16,970 /min first 60m · accel +1,494•
@FT11,938 /min at +48m · accel +1,047•
@MKBHD5,908 /min at +35m · accel +275•
@SecScottBessent3,263 /min first 60m · accel +256•
@amasad1,404 /min at +28m · accel +82•
@pmarca2,778 /min at +25m · accel +171•
@dwarkesh_sp643 /min first 60m · accel +53•
@gdb99.4K views first 60m · ×2.5 typical•
@patrickc65.6K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@karpathy103.4K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@emollick10.8K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@CathieDWood83.8K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@howardmarks19.1K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@DarioAmodei46.3K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@nikitabier21.7K views at +22m · ×3.1 typical•
@cdixon23.1K views at +30m · ×1.6 typical•
@jack79.6K views first 60m · ×1.9 typical•
@Carl_C_Icahn18.4K views first 60m · ×1.8 typical•
@garrytan207.1K views first 60m · ×1.7 typical•
@levelsio54.7K views first 60m · ×2.4 typical•
@shl60.6K views first 60m · ×2 typical•
@morganhouselpeaked at +43m · now 84 /min•
@lennysanpeaked at +56m · now 56 /min•
@Jasonpeaked at +12m · now 86 /min•
@balajispeaked at +43m · now 61 /min•
@rauchgpeaked at +24m · now 172 /min•
@bgurleypeaked at +42m · now 155 /min•
@RayDaliopeaked at +29m · now 216 /min•
@satyanadellapeaked at +29m · now 1,017 /min•
@dhhpeaked at +19m · now 174 /min•
@tim_cookpeaked at +8m · now 3,445 /min•
@michaeljburrypeaked at +15m · now 638 /min•
@leviepeaked at +38m · now 763 /min•
@federalreservepeaked at +6m · now 2,193 /min•
@BillAckmanpeaked at +3h56m · now 215 /min•